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Fantasy playbook: NFL Week 17 scores, projections, matchups
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Mike Clay, ESPN Senior Writer
Welcome to the Fantasy Football Playbook for Week 17, which kicks off Wednesday with a pair of Christmas Day games.
This column features score projections, Over/unders, win probabilities and, of course, easily digestible fantasy advice for seasonlong leagues and DFS. This guide should help you with all sorts of decision-making, including sit/start moves, last-minute waiver adds and lineup choices.
The advice is centered on 12-team PPR leagues with relatively standard scoring and lineup settings (1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 flex, 1 K, 1 D/ST), although I’ll often mention “shallow” or “deep” leagues for some starters. The charts show all players who have been projected for at least 6.0 fantasy points this week, as well as all D/STs. “Matchup” is automatically determined using a proprietary metric that factors in raw and volume-adjusted fantasy points allowed to each position by the opposing defense this season.
(Editor’s note: Projections and rankings will align almost perfectly, but sometimes when a projection is close, a player might be ranked slightly higher or lower because of other factors, including upside or risk. This column is subject to updates during the weekend, although at the very minimum, rankings will be updated on the site and projections will always be updated inside the game leading up to kickoff.)
Week 17 of the NFL is upon us, and it’s crunch time for fantasy football owners. With playoffs on the line, every point matters. Here’s a rundown of the scores, projections, and matchups for this week:
Scores:
– Indianapolis Colts vs. Jacksonville Jaguars: Colts projected to win 28-14
– Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions: Packers projected to win 35-21
– Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos: Chiefs projected to win 31-17
– Los Angeles Rams vs. San Francisco 49ers: Rams projected to win 24-20
– New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons: Saints projected to win 27-24
Projections:
– Quarterback: Aaron Rodgers (Packers) projected to have a big game with 300+ passing yards and 3 touchdowns
– Running back: Derrick Henry (Titans) projected to rush for over 100 yards and score 2 touchdowns
– Wide receiver: Davante Adams (Packers) projected to have a monster game with 150+ receiving yards and 2 touchdowns
Matchups to watch:
– Indianapolis Colts defense vs. Jacksonville Jaguars offense: The Colts defense has been dominant all season, while the Jaguars offense has struggled. This could be a lopsided matchup in favor of the Colts.
– Kansas City Chiefs offense vs. Denver Broncos defense: The Chiefs offense, led by Patrick Mahomes, is one of the best in the league. But the Broncos defense has been solid all season. This will be a matchup to watch closely.
As we head into the final week of the regular season, every point matters. Make sure to set your lineups wisely and keep an eye on these key matchups. Good luck to all fantasy football owners in Week 17!
Tags:
- Fantasy football
- NFL Week 17
- Scores
- Projections
- Matchups
- Fantasy playbook
- NFL fantasy
- Football analysis
- Player projections
- NFL playoffs
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