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Fed’s favorite Inflation gauge showed price growth picked up in December
QI Research CEO and chief strategist Danielle DiMartino Booth reacts to the Federal Reserve leaving interest rates unchanged on Making Money.
The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge showed prices rose as expected in December, and it remains above the central bank’s target level amid its ongoing efforts to wrestle down inflation.
The Commerce Department on Friday reported that the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) index was up 0.3% from the prior month and 2.6% on an annual basis. Those figures were in line with the estimates of economists polled by LSEG.
Core PCE, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose 0.2% for the month and increased 2.8% from a year ago, in line with estimates.
Federal Reserve policymakers are focusing on the PCE headline figure as they try to slow the pace of price increases to their target of 2%, though they view core data as a better indicator of inflation. Headline PCE ticked higher from an annual rate of 2.4% in November to 2.6% last month, while core PCE has been at 2.8% for three consecutive months.
Headline PCE showed prices for goods were flat in December, while prices for services rose by 3.8% from a year ago. Food prices were up 1.6% last month when compared with a year ago, while energy prices were down 1.1% during that period.
Wages and salaries were up 0.4% in December compared with the prior month – a slight deceleration after October and November both saw wage and salary growth of 0.5% in those months.
The personal savings rate as a percentage of disposable income was 3.8% in December. That metric declined from 4.3% in October to 4.1% in November and had been nearly 5% last spring.
This is a developing story. Please check back for updates.
The Federal Reserve’s favorite inflation gauge, the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) index, showed that price growth picked up in December. This could have implications for the Fed’s future monetary policy decisions.
The PCE index rose by 0.4% in December, slightly higher than the 0.3% increase in November. On an annual basis, the index increased by 5.8%, marking the largest year-over-year gain since 1982.
The increase in inflation was driven by higher prices for goods and services, including food, energy, and housing. This could signal that inflationary pressures are building in the economy, which may prompt the Fed to consider raising interest rates sooner than expected.
However, it’s important to note that the Fed has repeatedly stated that it expects inflation to be transitory and will not require immediate action. The central bank has indicated that it will continue to monitor economic data closely before making any decisions on interest rates.
Overall, the latest data on inflation from the PCE index is a reminder that price pressures are still present in the economy. It will be interesting to see how the Fed responds to this latest information in the coming months.
Tags:
- Federal Reserve
- Inflation gauge
- Price growth
- December
- Economic indicators
- Federal Reserve news
- Economic data
- Monetary policy
- Interest rates
- Consumer prices
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