Jazz vs. Pelicans odds, line, spread: 2025 NBA MLK Day picks, Jan. 20 predictions from proven model

We’ve got another exciting Western Conference matchup on the NBA MLK Day schedule as the New Orleans Pelicans and Utah Jazz are set to tip at 8 p.m. ET on Monday at the Smoothie King Center. New Orleans is 11-32 overall and 7-16 at home, while Utah is 10-30 overall and 7-15 on the road. Collin Sexton (rest), Johnny Juzang (hand) and Lauri Markkanen (back) will all miss tonight’s contest for the Jazz. 

The Pelicans are favored by 11 points in the latest Pelicans vs. Jazz odds via SportsLine consensus, and the over/under is 231.5 points. Before entering any Jazz vs. Pelicans picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions from the advanced computer model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters Week 14 of the 2024-25 NBA season on a sizzling 136-99 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning well over $3,000. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.

The model has set its sights on Utah vs. New Orleans. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for the game:

• Pelicans vs. Jazz spread: Pelicans -11
• Pelicans vs. Jazz over/under: 231.5 points
• Pelicans vs. Jazz money line: Pelicans: -613, Jazz: +446
• Pelicans vs. Jazz picks: See picks here
• Pelicans vs. Jazz streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)

Why the Pelicans can cover 

The Pelicans enter tonight’s matchup fresh off scoring the most points they have all season. They came out on top against the Jazz by a score of 136-123 on Friday. Winning may never get old, but New Orleans sure is getting used to it with its third in a row.

Multiple players turned in solid performances to lead the Pelicans to victory, but perhaps none more so than Zion Williamson, who dropped a double-double with 24 points and 14 rebounds. The dominant performance also gave Williamson a new career-high in offensive rebounds (eight). CJ McCollum was another key contributor, scoring 26 points to go along with five rebounds. See which team to pick here. 

Why the Jazz can cover

Utah limps into Monday’s contest having lost five of its last six games. However, the Jazz have had success against the Pelicans over the years, winning 13 of the last 20 meetings. The Jazz are also 6-2 against the spread in their past eight games against New Orleans. 

The Jazz are 7-2 against the spread in their last nine games on the road, so they’ll be confident they can keep this game close. Offensively, the Jazz are scoring 111.3 points per game on average. See which team to pick here. 

How to make Pelicans vs. Jazz picks

The model has simulated Pelicans vs. Jazz 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under the total, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that hits in nearly 70% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Jazz vs. Pelicans, and which side of the spread hits in nearly 70% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a 136-99 roll on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.