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The No. 21 Missouri Tigers (16-4, 5-2 SEC) and the No. 13 Mississippi State Bulldogs (16-5, 4-4) meet Saturday at Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville. Tip-off is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (SEC Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the Missouri vs. Mississippi State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.
Mississippi State has won 8 of the past 9 meetings outright, while also going 8-1 against the spread (ATS) since Feb. 26, 2019. The Under has cashed in 5 in a row and 8 of the previous 9 in the series, too.
The Tigers have won 4 of the past 5 games, including an 83-82 win at No. 6 Florida Jan. 14, and Mizzou is 6-1 ATS in the past 7 outings. The Under is 6-2 in the past 8 games, too.
The Bulldogs have lost 4 out of the past 6 games, with its only victories during the span coming via OT at South Carolina and at home to Ole Miss. Their last victory in regulation was Jan. 7 at Vanderbilt as 2.5-point favorites. The Over is 4-2 in the past 6 games for Mississippi State.
– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll
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Missouri at Mississippi State odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:05 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Missouri +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Mississippi State -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Missouri +6.5 (-115) | Mississippi State -6.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 149.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Missouri at Mississippi State picks and predictions
Prediction
Mississippi State 75, Missouri 73
Moneyline
Mississippi State (-250) will cost you 2½ times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk for not enough reward, especially in a battle between 2 ranked teams.
In addition, the Bulldogs are at home, but they haven’t been playing particularly well lately. Missouri (+200) has some marquee wins so far this season, including Q1 wins against Florida, Kansas and Ole Miss.
PASS.
Against the spread
MISSOURI +6.5 (-115) is a solid play catching more than 3 buckets. The Tigers have posted an impressive 6-1 ATS mark in the past 7 games since the ball dropped to ring in 2025.
On the flip side, Mississippi State -6.5 (-105) has failed to cover the past 6 outings, while going 4-9 ATS in 13 games since Dec. 9. In addition, the Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in the past 6 contests at home.
Over/Under
UNDER 149.5 (-110) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.
The total has cashed high in the past 3 games for Mississippi State at home, so there is obviously some concern. However, Mizzou has cashed low in 6 of the past 8 games, and the Under has cashed in 5 in a row in this series, while going 8-1 in the past 9 meetings, too.
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Missouri at Mississippi State Odds, Picks and Predictions
Missouri travels to Starkville to take on Mississippi State in an SEC showdown on Saturday. Both teams are looking to bounce back from losses in their last games and will be hungry for a win.
Mississippi State is currently a 5.5-point favorite over Missouri, with the over/under set at 58.5 points. The Bulldogs have had a solid start to the season, with a 3-1 record, but are coming off a tough loss to LSU. Missouri, on the other hand, is 2-2 and looking to get back on track after a loss to Boston College.
In terms of picks and predictions, this game is shaping up to be a close one. Both teams have shown flashes of potential this season, but have also struggled at times. Mississippi State’s defense has been strong, but their offense has been inconsistent. Missouri, on the other hand, has a potent offense led by quarterback Connor Bazelak.
Ultimately, I think this game will come down to which team can make the most plays on both sides of the ball. I like Missouri to keep it close and cover the spread, but I think Mississippi State will ultimately come out on top with a narrow win. Look for a high-scoring game with both teams putting up points.
Prediction: Mississippi State 31, Missouri 27
Pick: Missouri +5.5
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