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Senators vs Bruins Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NHL Game
The Senators just took down the Bruins on Saturday, and our NHL picks expect a repeat performance at TD Garden on Thursday night.
Photo By – Imagn Images.
The Ottawa Senators have topped the Boston Bruins in each of their first two meetings this season, and the Atlantic Division rivals will hit the ice at TD Garden again on Thursday, January 23.
With Boston reeling along a 3-6-2 stretch and Ottawa ripe for improved puck luck, my Senators vs. Bruins predictions and NHL picks are calling for the Sens to win again tonight in Beantown.
Senators vs Bruins prediction
My Senators pick
Senators moneyline (-123 at Pinnacle)
My Senators analysis
The Ottawa Senators topped the Boston Bruins 6-5 in a shootout on Saturday, and it was the Sens dominating the play with a 63.0 Corsi For percentage and 64.8 expected goals percentage at 5-on-5 and 48 overall shots to Boston’s 28.
Ottawa has been solid in the underlying metrics all season at 5-on-5, and they’ve continued the trend out of the holiday break with a ninth-ranked 52.1 CF% and middling 51.5 xGF%. The issue for the Sens during the 6-5-2 run has been a league-low 4.9 team shooting percentage at 5-on-5.
Boston is the perfect opponent for improved puck luck to kick in because the Bruins are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set, and both No. 1 Jeremy Swayman and Joonas Korpisalo saw time during Wednesday’s 5-1 loss to the Devils.
Additionally, Boston has been the complete opposite of Ottawa out of the holiday break.
The Bruins sport a 27th-ranked 45.4 CF% and 29th-ranked 43.6 xGF% at 5-on-5, but they’ve been bailed out by tremendous puck luck reinforced by their fifth-ranked 102.0 PDO. In particular, allowing the third-most expected goals per 60 minutes at 5-on-5 (3.08) and also sporting the 10th-highest team save percentage (.922) is unsustainable.
Of course, the Bruins are also without their No. 1 defenseman. The loss of Charlie McAvoy (upper body) is significant. He plays in all situations with a team-high 23:41 per night, and Boston has already been without top-four stalwart Hampus Lindholm (lower body) since mid-November.
Ottawa makes it three straight wins against Boston tonight.
Senators vs Bruins odds analysis
There has been action on the Ottawa side of this moneyline, and Pinnacle has moved the number from Sens -115 at opening to -123 as of Thursday morning. I wouldn’t be surprised if there was additional Ottawa support based on the Boston starting goalie, too.
Both teams are trending to the Under, and it aligns with the highlighted poor team shooting percentage for Ottawa and excellent goaltending from the Bruins. There has been a small move to the Under 5.5 at Pinnacle, with the shop opening Under 5.5 -103 and the vig increasing to -109 as of Thursday morning.
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Senators vs Bruins odds
Senators vs Bruins live odds
Senators vs Bruins opening odds
- Puck line: Ottawa -1.5 (+220) | Boston +1.5 (-264)
- Moneyline: Ottawa -115 | Boston +103
- Over/Under: Over 5.5 | Under 5.5
Odds courtesy of Pinnacle.
Senators vs Bruins trend
The Senators have cashed the Under in 34 of their last 49 away games (+21.25 units / 40% ROI), and the Bruins have cashed the Under in 29 of their last 50 home games (+8.90 units / 16% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Senators vs. Bruins.
How to watch Senators vs Bruins
| Location | TD Garden, Boston, MA |
| Date | Thursday, 1-23-2025 |
| Puck drop | 7:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | RDS2 |
Senators vs Bruins latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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Tonight’s NHL game features a matchup between the Ottawa Senators and the Boston Bruins. Both teams are looking to secure a much-needed win, but who will come out on top? Here are our predictions, picks, and odds for tonight’s game:
The Ottawa Senators have struggled this season, currently sitting near the bottom of the standings. However, they have shown flashes of potential and have the ability to surprise their opponents. The Senators will need a strong performance from their top players, including Brady Tkachuk and Thomas Chabot, if they want to pull off an upset against the Bruins.
On the other hand, the Boston Bruins are one of the top teams in the league and have been playing well recently. Led by their star players such as Brad Marchand and David Pastrnak, the Bruins have a potent offense and solid defense. They will be looking to continue their winning streak and secure another important victory tonight.
In terms of odds, the Bruins are favored to win this game. However, hockey is a unpredictable sport and anything can happen on any given night. Our prediction is that the Bruins will come out on top in a close game, but the Senators will put up a fight and keep it competitive.
Our pick: Boston Bruins to win
Odds: Boston Bruins -150, Ottawa Senators +130
Make sure to tune in to tonight’s game to see who comes out victorious in this exciting matchup between the Senators and Bruins. Let us know your predictions and picks in the comments below!
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