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ESPN MLB insider Author of “The Arm: Inside the Billion-Dollar Mystery of the Most Valuable Commodity in Sports”
Right-hander Corbin Burnes and the Arizona Diamondbacks are in agreement on a six-year, $210 million contract, sources confirmed to ESPN.
After a quiet winter, Arizona gets the best pitcher on the market, while Burnes gets to play for a dangerous NL West team.
Burnes, 30, is everything teams want in a starting pitcher. His production over the last five years is unimpeachable. He goes deep into games and piles up innings. In his limited postseason action, he has been excellent.
He rejected a one-year, $21.05 million qualifying offer by the Baltimore Orioles on Nov. 19.
Since 2020, when Burnes joined the Milwaukee Brewers‘ rotation for good, he ranks third in MLB in innings pitched (816.2), second in ERA among those with at least 500 innings (2.88), second in strikeouts (946), sixth in home runs per nine innings (0.8) and among the top five in FanGraphs WAR (second with 21.7) and Baseball-Reference WAR (fourth with 18.6).
Baltimore traded for Burnes last offseason, and he spearheaded the Orioles’ rotation, posting a 2.92 ERA over 194.1 innings — his third consecutive season with 190-plus. Burnes’ strikeout rate dipped to 8.4 per nine, and though he stumbled through a troublesome August, Burnes posted a 1.20 ERA in five September starts and then limited the Kansas City Royals to one run in an eight-inning playoff start.
Stuff+ models adore Burnes, too, calling his cutter the best among all starters and all five of his pitches above average. Pitchers with similar resumes to Burnes’ hit the jackpot in free agency, and Burnes was the heavy favorite to receive the second-highest guarantee in the class behind slugger Juan Soto.
The New York Post was first to report Burnes’ agreement with the Diamondbacks.
The Arizona Diamondbacks have locked in their ace pitcher for the long haul, as they have reached a massive six-year, $210 million deal with right-handed pitcher Corbin Burnes.
Burnes, who had a breakout season in 2021, solidified himself as one of the top pitchers in the league with a 2.43 ERA and 234 strikeouts in 167 innings. The 27-year-old hurler was a key contributor to the D-backs’ success last season, helping them reach the playoffs for the first time in five years.
The new contract solidifies Burnes as the face of the D-backs’ pitching staff for years to come, and ensures that the team will have a dominant presence on the mound for the foreseeable future.
Fans are ecstatic about the news, as Burnes has quickly become a fan-favorite in Arizona with his electric stuff and competitive fire. With Burnes locked in, the D-backs are poised to be a force in the NL West for years to come.
Corbin Burnes was great for the Brewers, then great for the Orioles. (Photo by Greg Fiume/Getty Images)
Corbin Burnes is headed to the Arizona Diamondbacks, and it wasn’t cheap.
The 2021 Cy Young Award winner agreed to a six-year, $210 million deal with the Diamondbacks early Saturday morning. Jon Heyman of the New York Post first reported the agreement, which has an opt-out for Burnes after two seasons.
The contract is the largest in Diamondbacks history. Burnes, who lives in Scottsdale, Arizona, will now pitch for the local team after reportedly turning down offers from the San Francisco Giants and Toronto Blue Jays.
The deal ends Burnes’ tenure with the Baltimore Orioles after one season. The AL East contenders went for a splashy trade last winter by acquiring the right-hander from the Milwaukee Brewers, but it ended up being a one-year rental.
It’s not like Burnes didn’t deliver for Baltimore. From his Opening Day start (6 innings, 1 hit, 1 run, 11 strikeouts) to his sole postseason start (8 innings, 5 hits, 1 run, 3 strikeouts), Burnes was the bona fide ace the Orioles were looking for when they traded for him, but his free-agent market was likely out of Baltimore’s price range.
Because Burnes turned down a qualifying offer from Baltimore, the Orioles will receive draft pick compensation from his new team.
Corbin Burnes has been one of MLB’s best pitchers for 5 years, but could he be declining?
Looking over the past half-decade, there is no question that Burnes has been one of MLB’s top aces.
Since the 2020 season, Burnes ranks third in MLB in innings pitched with 816 2/3, fourth in ERA at 2.88, sixth in FIP at 3.01, second in strikeouts with 946 and fourth in bWAR with 18.6. There is nothing you could look for in a pitcher that Burnes isn’t great at.
It remains an impressive success story for a player who was legitimately one of the worst pitchers in MLB in 2019. In 49 innings pitched, Burnes posted a galling 8.82 ERA. That remains the worst ERA by any pitcher in Brewers history with at least 40 innings pitched. Only 23 pitchers in MLB historyhave posted a worse mark in that many innings.
Then Burnes turned his career around by introducing a cutter that is now his signature pitch. That said, he actually cut down his cutter usage from 55.4% to 45% this season while still having a great season.
However, there are some reasons for concern that Burnes could be on the decline, starting with the fact that he’s already north of 30 years old. After posting whiff rates above 35% from 2019 to 2022, he fell below 29% in 2023 and 2024. This past season, batters also both swung and made contact with pitches in the zone from Burnes at the highest rate since his miserable 2019 season.
Burnes’ velocity has stayed steady so far in his career, but in 2024, he struck out batters at a mediocre rate by MLB standards and at an abysmal rate by his own standards. Quite a few ERA predictors haven’t been fans of his peripherals over the past two seasons as well.
Still, what matters are results, and Burnes has continued to deliver. Even a pitcher performing at 90% of Burnes’ prime is one of the most valuable pitchers in the game, and there are pitchers older than Burnes who are still getting paid tens of millions per year.
Giving Burnes this much money is fine, and he would be a great addition for any team. It’s just important to be aware of what trends he needs to buck to stay among MLB’s elite.
In a blockbuster deal, the Arizona Diamondbacks have reportedly agreed to a massive $210 million contract with star pitcher Corbin Burnes. The agreement, which is said to be for 7 years, solidifies the Diamondbacks’ rotation and makes Burnes one of the highest-paid players in baseball.
Burnes, who is coming off a Cy Young-winning season with the Milwaukee Brewers, was highly sought after by multiple teams in free agency. However, the Diamondbacks were able to secure his services with their lucrative offer.
The 27-year-old right-hander has established himself as one of the most dominant pitchers in the game, boasting a career 2.89 ERA and a staggering 13.5 K/9 rate. His addition to the Diamondbacks’ rotation is expected to elevate the team to championship contention.
Fans of the Diamondbacks are thrilled with the news, as Burnes brings a much-needed boost to their pitching staff. With Burnes now locked up long-term, the Diamondbacks look poised to make a serious run at the World Series in the coming years. Stay tuned for more updates as the deal becomes official.
But the four-time All-Star will now join a Diamondbacks team that’s one year removed from winning the NL pennant.
Last year with the Orioles, the righty pitched a 2.92 ERA over 194¹/₃ innings.
The 30-year-old has a 3.19 ERA and 1.06 WHIP across seven seasons.
This is a developing story
In a shocking turn of events, starting pitcher Corbin Burnes has agreed to a six-year, $210 million deal with the Arizona Diamondbacks. The deal, which includes a full no-trade clause, marks one of the largest contracts in MLB history for a pitcher.
Burnes, who was coming off a dominant season with the Milwaukee Brewers, where he won the NL Cy Young award, was one of the most sought-after free agents this offseason. Many teams were vying for his services, but ultimately it was the Diamondbacks who were able to secure his signature.
The 27-year-old right-hander is expected to anchor the Diamondbacks’ rotation for years to come, providing a much-needed boost to their pitching staff. With Burnes now locked up long-term, Arizona fans can look forward to seeing one of the best pitchers in the game take the mound every fifth day.
The deal is pending a physical and is expected to be officially announced in the coming days. Stay tuned for more updates on this blockbuster signing.
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