Price: $2.99
(as of Jan 17,2025 15:07:24 UTC – Details)
ASIN : B01LZ1T9IX
Publisher : Blue Windmill Media (October 2, 2016)
Publication date : October 2, 2016
Language : English
File size : 985 KB
Simultaneous device usage : Unlimited
Text-to-Speech : Enabled
Screen Reader : Supported
Enhanced typesetting : Enabled
X-Ray : Enabled
Word Wise : Enabled
Print length : 197 pages
Customers say
Customers find the book provides clear explanations and examples of how to calculate probabilities. They describe it as an engaging primer that provides a good foundation for understanding Bayes’ Theorem. However, some readers feel the examples are repetitive. Opinions differ on the value for money, with some finding it inexpensive and others saying it offers little value.
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Bayes’ Theorem Examples: A Visual Introduction For Beginners
Welcome to a beginner’s guide to understanding Bayes’ Theorem through visual examples. Bayes’ Theorem is a fundamental concept in probability theory and statistics that allows us to update our beliefs based on new evidence. It is a powerful tool for making decisions and predictions in a wide range of fields, from medicine to finance to artificial intelligence.
To better understand Bayes’ Theorem, let’s look at some visual examples:
1. The Monty Hall Problem: Imagine you are on a game show and given the choice of three doors. Behind one door is a car, and behind the other two doors are goats. You pick a door, say Door 1. The host, who knows what is behind each door, then opens another door with a goat behind it, say Door 3. Should you stick with your original choice or switch to Door 2? Bayes’ Theorem can help you calculate the probability of winning the car by switching doors.
2. Medical Diagnosis: Suppose you have taken a medical test for a rare disease that has a false positive rate of 10%. If the test comes back positive, what is the probability that you actually have the disease? Bayes’ Theorem can help you calculate the likelihood of having the disease given a positive test result.
3. Email Spam Filter: Let’s say you have an email spam filter that correctly classifies 95% of spam emails and 98% of non-spam emails. If 20% of the emails you receive are spam, what is the probability that an email classified as spam is actually spam? Bayes’ Theorem can help you determine the accuracy of the spam filter.
By visualizing these examples and understanding how Bayes’ Theorem works, you can gain a deeper insight into the power of probabilistic reasoning and make more informed decisions in your everyday life. Stay tuned for more examples and explanations in future posts!
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