WASHINGTON (AP) — Mike Johnson is fighting for his political life, again.
The Louisiana Republican’s hold on the House speaker’s gavel and his position as second in line to the presidency will be tested Friday when a new Congress convenes and House Republicans weigh whether to reelect him to the post.
The challenge, as always, is that Johnson will need almost every Republican vote to win.
Johnson has a singular asset in his favor: President-elect Donald Trump endorsed him for speaker in a social media post at the start of the week. But it’s uncertain whether Trump’s blessing will be enough to persuade far-right Republicans who have at times grown frustrated with Johnson’s leadership and who are prone to demand concessions when their votes become essential.
Johnson, 52, ascended to the speakership in October 2023 almost by accident after Republicans struggled to replace Kevin McCarthy following the unprecedented removal of the California Republican from the job. Several contenders tried and failed before Republicans settled on Johnson, who is well liked across the conference.
But Johnson’s handling of major funding fights, including passage of aid to Ukraine last spring and, most recently, a short-term spending bill, has turned at least a few allies into detractors.
With Republicans holding a narrow 220-215 majority in the House, it would take only two GOP lawmakers voting for other candidates to deny Johnson a majority for the speakership, forcing more rounds of voting.
Here’s what to know about how the House elects a speaker:
No House without a speaker
Electing a speaker is the first order of business for the House after a new session of Congress begins at noon. It’s a vote that members take even before being sworn into office.
The House cannot organize until it has a speaker because that person effectively serves as the House’s presiding officer and the institution’s administrative head. The House can elect a new speaker at any time if the person occupying that role dies, resigns or is removed from office. The speakership has been vacant only 13 times in U.S. history, according to the nonpartisan Congressional Research Service. No speaker had ever been removed until eight Republicans joined with Democrats to oust McCarthy.
Barring those instances, a speaker is normally elected at the start of a new Congress and serves in the job for the full two-year session.
The House clerk presides over the speaker’s election. Lawmakers call out the name of their choice for speaker from the floor, a rare and time-consuming roll call that heightens the drama on the floor. Members often liven up the proceedings by shouting or standing when casting their vote.
Who can be nominated?
Any name can be called out from the House floor. While it has been the tradition for the speaker to be a member of the House, it is not required.
In past years, Democratic President Joe Biden, Trump and even a senator, Republican Rand Paul of Kentucky, have received votes for House speaker. None received the majority of the vote. And generally, a party’s official nominee for speaker is who ends up with the gavel.
Republicans chose Johnson as their nominee for speaker in a closed-door vote in November. A week later, Democrats unanimously chose Rep. Hakeem Jeffries, D-N.Y., to remain their leader despite the party’s electoral losses.
Lawmakers are not obligated to vote for their party’s nominated candidate. And that is why the process can quickly get messy.
Let the voting begin
Once the House is in a quorum — meaning the minimum number of members are present to proceed — nominating speeches will be made on behalf of the nominees for speaker. The clerk appoints lawmakers from each party as tellers to tally the votes before the roll call begins.
To become speaker, a candidate needs a majority of the votes from House members who are present and voting.
Historically, the magical number has been 218 out of the 435 members of the House. But many previous speakers, including McCarthy, have won with fewer votes because members sometimes vote “present” instead of calling out a name. Every lawmaker voting “present” lowers the overall tally needed to reach a majority.
It remains to be seen whether Johnson will reach a majority to become speaker on the first ballot. Should he come up short, it is likely the clerk will move to start another roll call vote.
McCarthy went through a grueling 15 ballots over four days before he gained enough support to become the 55th speaker in January 2023.
Passing of the gavel
Once a speaker candidate wins a majority of those present and voting, the clerk will announce the results of the election.
A bipartisan committee, usually consisting of members from the home state of the chosen candidate, will escort the speaker-elect to the chair on the dais where the oath of office is administered. The oath is identical to the one new members will take once a speaker is chosen.
The outgoing speaker usually joins the successor at the speaker’s chair, where the gavel is passed as a nod to the peaceful transition of power from one party leader to another. But this time around, given that Johnson is already the speaker, it will likely be Jeffries who would once again hand Johnson the gavel.
Mike Johnson, the current Speaker of the House, is facing a tough battle to retain his position despite receiving support from former President Donald Trump. While Trump’s endorsement may seem like a significant advantage, there are several factors that could make Johnson’s bid for reelection a struggle.
First and foremost, Johnson is facing strong opposition from within his own party. Several Republican lawmakers have expressed concerns about Johnson’s leadership style and his handling of key legislative issues. This internal dissent could make it difficult for Johnson to garner enough support from his fellow Republicans to secure another term as Speaker.
Additionally, Johnson’s ties to Trump could prove to be a double-edged sword. While Trump’s endorsement may rally some members of the party to Johnson’s side, it could also alienate moderate Republicans and independents who may view Trump as a divisive figure. In a closely divided House, Johnson will need to appeal to a broad coalition of lawmakers in order to secure the votes needed to remain in power.
Furthermore, Johnson is facing mounting pressure from Democrats who are eager to regain control of the House. With the midterm elections looming, Democrats are likely to make Johnson’s leadership a central issue in their campaign messaging. This increased scrutiny could further weaken Johnson’s position and make it harder for him to retain the support of his colleagues.
In conclusion, while Trump’s endorsement may provide a boost to Johnson’s bid for reelection, he still faces significant challenges in his quest to remain Speaker of the House. Internal party dissent, opposition from Democrats, and the potential backlash from Trump’s association could all combine to make Johnson’s bid a struggle. Only time will tell if he is able to overcome these obstacles and secure another term as Speaker.
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