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Tag: Props
Week 17 NFL Player Props: What Can Brown Do for You?
Welcome to the final installment of my weekly NFL player props column for the 2024 season. I clinched a winning season two weeks ago and need to hit two of three this week to end up exactly at 60 percent for the year. Hopefully, that means I have helped some of you along the way. Let’s finish strong with three of my favorite Week 17 NFL player props. As always, these numbers and prices are subject to change. Make sure you shop around to maximize your profits and minimize your losses.
NFL Week 17 Player Props
Chase Brown OVER 25.5 Receiving Yards (-115, Fanatics)
Chase Brown has been one of the most productive running backs this season. He has been a bell-cow back since Zack Moss suffered a season-ending injury in Week 8. Brown has at least 20 touches in six of seven games since Moss’ injury. Much of that work has come as a pass-catcher out of the backfield. Brown has averaged 4.9 receptions and 39.3 receiving yards in those seven contests. He has at least 30 receiving yards in five of seven. I expect more of the same on Saturday when the Bengals host the Denver Broncos. Brown’s receiving yards are one of my favorite Week 17 NFL player props.
Denver enters Saturday’s game with the sixth-best pass defense based on DVOA. However, they rank just 30th in the passing game versus opposing running backs. The Broncos lead the NFL in terms of pressure and sack rate. Teams have succeeded against Denver with quick throws to running backs to offset Denver’s pass rush. Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow is less than 100 percent due to wrist and knee injuries. Cincinnati would be wise to design some quick passes to Brown to get the ball out of Burrow’s hand quickly. This matchup sets up for Brown to provide plenty of receiving production. You can play Brown to record at least 25 receiving yards for -130 on ESPNBet. I will risk the hook and play Brown to end up with at least 26 yards at a much more palatable price.
Anthony Richardson UNDER 26.5 Pass Attempts (-114, FanDuel)
What’s better than sweating out a bet on an under? Well, lots of things, probably. But I am willing to sweat this one out for multiple reasons. Let’s start with the Indianapolis offense. The Colts do not want Anthony Richardson throwing the ball very often. In five games since returning to the starting lineup, Richardson has thrown the ball 81 times through the first three quarters. He has thrown the ball 50 times in the fourth quarters of those five games. Richardson’s passing attempts have been extremely dependent on the game script. That is important because Indianapolis is a 7.5-point favorite against the New York Giants, the worst team in the NFL. If this game goes according to plan, the Colts will let Jonathan Taylor do most of the heavy lifting.
Richardson is also dealing with back and foot injuries heading into this week’s matchup. The Colts are optimistic that he will play. However, Richardson could be limited in this game. Richardson’s injuries will probably limit his opportunities in the run game but may also affect his passing ability. Depending on Saturday’s results, the Colts may also be eliminated from the AFC playoff picture before they play on Sunday. If they are out of the playoff picture, they may not want a hobbled Richardson overdoing it in a meaningless game. The expected game script is the main reason I like this play, but it always helps to have additional outs. I am picking Anthony Richardson to record fewer than 26.5 pass attempts in this game.
Brock Purdy 250+ Passing Yards (-118, BetRivers)
Brock Purdy is averaging 249 passing yards per game this season. Based on that, it would make sense that the sportsbooks are posting his Week 17 passing line right around that mark. However, they fail to consider a couple of factors we can use to our advantage. First is Purdy’s Week 17 matchup with the Detroit Lions. Detroit is the most explosive offense in the league, averaging nearly 33 points per game. They are also dealing with a myriad of injuries on the defensive end. Both issues have led to the Lions allowing a lot of passing production in recent weeks. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 290 passing yards on 8.71 yards per attempt in Detroit’s last four games.
While Purdy’s yardage totals have been wildly inconsistent lately, lousy weather has been chiefly to blame. San Francisco played the Buffalo Bills in a snowstorm in Week 13. Purdy threw for just 94 yards in the loss, while MVP frontrunner Josh Allen finished with just 148. The 49ers were back home in Week 15, but heavy rain prohibited Purdy from producing in the passing game. He finished with only 142 passing yards, while his counterpart, Matthew Stafford, finished with 160. If you remove those two games from the equation, Purdy is averaging 270.9 passing yards and has surpassed this number in eight of 12 games. This number should be closer to 275 than 250, so I will gladly take the lower number at a neutral price point.
Make sure to check out all of our Week 17 Fantasy Football Rankings and Analysis!
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In Week 17 of the NFL season, all eyes will be on star wide receiver Antonio Brown as he looks to make an impact for his new team. With the playoffs on the line, Brown will be looking to prove his worth and show just what he can do on the field.Here are some player props to keep an eye on for Antonio Brown in Week 17:
1. Total Receiving Yards: Over/Under 100 yards
Brown has been known for his ability to rack up big yardage in the passing game, and he will be looking to do just that in Week 17. Look for Brown to potentially go over the 100-yard mark as he looks to make a statement in a crucial game.2. Total Touchdowns: Over/Under 1.5 touchdowns
Brown is always a threat to find the end zone, and he will be looking to do just that in Week 17. Look for Brown to potentially score multiple touchdowns as he looks to help his team secure a playoff spot.3. Total Receptions: Over/Under 8 receptions
Brown is a favorite target for his quarterback, and he will likely see plenty of targets in Week 17. Look for Brown to potentially haul in over 8 receptions as he looks to move the chains and make plays for his team.Overall, Antonio Brown will be a key player to watch in Week 17 as he looks to make a big impact for his team. Keep an eye on these player props to see just what Brown can do for you in this crucial game.
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Drake Maye player props odds, tips and betting trends for Week 17
Check out these betting insights and trends before you place player prop wagers on Drake Maye for Saturday’s game, which starts at 1:00 PM ET on NFL Network. The New England Patriots (3-12) and Maye face off versus the Los Angeles Chargers (9-6) in a Week 17 matchup from Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts.
Watch Drake Maye and the Patriots vs. Chargers on Fubo!
Drake Maye week 17 player props
- Matchup: New England Patriots vs. Los Angeles Chargers
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Date: December 28, 2024
- Passing yards prop: Over 219.5 (-128)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 25.5 (-118)
National Football League odds courtesy of BetMGM. Odds updated Saturday at 6:55 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.
Maye passing stats and trends
- Maye’s passing yardage average this season (196.3) is 23.2 lower than Saturday’s over/under.
- On six occasions this season, he has totaled more than 219.5 yards through the air.
- Maye’s average passing yards prop this year is 201.5, while his actual passing average is under that by 5.2 yards.
- So far this season, Maye has gone over his passing yards prop total in seven of 10 opportunities.
- He has thrown for a touchdown nine times this season in 11 games played, including multiple TD passes four times.
- In eight of 11 games this year, Maye has thrown an interception, with more than one pick on two occasions.
Patriots vs. Chargers stats and trends
- The 213.8 passing yards the Chargers allow per game makes them the NFL’s 17th-ranked pass defense this season.
- The Patriots rank worst in passing offense (178.5 passing yards per game), but they’ve played slightly better on defense, ranking 13th with 212.4 passing yards allowed per contest.
- The Patriots are averaging 119.7 rushing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 14th in the NFL. On defense, they rank 24th, surrendering 130.4 rushing yards per game.
- The Patriots rank 27th in offensive yards per play (5.2) and 16th in yards per play allowed (5.7) this season.
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Drake Maye Player Props Odds, Tips, and Betting Trends for Week 17As we head into Week 17 of the NFL season, one player to keep an eye on is Drake Maye of the Minnesota Vikings. Maye has been a key player for the Vikings this season, and his performance on the field has caught the attention of many bettors.
Here are some player props odds, tips, and betting trends to consider when wagering on Drake Maye in Week 17:
Player Props Odds:
– Over/Under Passing Yards: 275.5
– Over/Under Touchdown Passes: 2.5
– Over/Under Interceptions: 0.5Tips:
– Maye has been on a hot streak recently, throwing for over 300 yards in his last three games. Consider taking the over on his passing yards prop.
– The Vikings have a strong receiving corps, so Maye has a good chance of throwing multiple touchdown passes. Take the over on his touchdown passes prop.
– Maye has been careful with the ball, throwing only one interception in his last four games. Consider taking the under on his interceptions prop.Betting Trends:
– The Vikings have a strong offense, averaging over 30 points per game in their last three contests. This bodes well for Maye’s chances of hitting the over on his passing yards and touchdown passes props.
– Maye has been efficient in the red zone, completing over 70% of his passes inside the 20-yard line. This could lead to more touchdown opportunities for him in Week 17.Overall, Drake Maye is a player to watch in Week 17, and there are plenty of betting opportunities to capitalize on his performance. Keep an eye on his player props odds, follow these tips, and consider the betting trends to make the most out of your wagers on Maye this week. Good luck!
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Chargers vs. Patriots Player Props for Rhamondre Stevenson, Kendrick Bourne
The Los Angeles Chargers (9-6) travel east to face off against the New England Patriots (3-12) on Saturday of NFL Week 17. Kickoff is slated for 1:00 p.m. ET and will be broadcast on NFL Network.
Let’s look at a pair of Chargers vs Patriots props on the New England side.
Chargers vs. Patriots Player Props
- Rhamondre Stevenson Over 42.5 Rushing Yards (-113, FanDuel)
- Kendrick Bourne Over 21.5 Receiving Yards (-115, DraftKings)
Rhamondre Stevenson Over 42.5 Rushing Yards (-113)
By Grant Neiffer
Even with Antonio Gibson back, Stevenson should get a large share of New England’s rushing offense.
The matchup here isn’t bad with the Chargers being a middle-of-the-pack defense vs. the rush this season and one of the better pass defenses in the league. I expect the Patriots to rely heavily on Stevenson as they look to keep the pressure off Drake Maye. Also, this should be a spot where the Patriots aren’t forced to move the ball through the air as the spread is just four points.
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Kendrick Bourne Over 21.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
By Matt Trebby
Kendrick Bourne has been Drake Maye’s most consistent target among Patriots wide receivers this season. In his last six games, Bourne has 21 receptions on 24 targets.
In Week 15, Bourne only ran 14 routes, but he bounced back with 32 last week against the Bills, which were his second most of the season. Here, we’re betting on another Patriots trailing game script and for Maye to keep looking Bourne’s way.
Bourne had gone over this total in five straight games before only getting 18 receiving yards last week. This week, Sean Koerner is projecting Bourne for 28.5 receiving yards, while Chris Raybon has him pegged for 24.6. I’d play this over up to 23.5.
The Chargers vs. Patriots game is sure to be an exciting matchup, and there are plenty of player props to keep an eye on for Rhamondre Stevenson and Kendrick Bourne.Rhamondre Stevenson, the rookie running back for the Patriots, has been making a name for himself with his strong performances on the field. Look for him to have a big impact in this game, with player props including rushing yards, total touchdowns, and receiving yards.
On the other side of the ball, Kendrick Bourne, the wide receiver for the Patriots, has been a key target for quarterback Mac Jones. Keep an eye on player props for Bourne such as receiving yards, total receptions, and touchdown receptions.
Both Stevenson and Bourne have the potential to make a big impact in this game, so be sure to keep an eye on their player props as the game unfolds. Who do you think will have the bigger game – Stevenson or Bourne? Let us know in the comments below!
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