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Michel’s Girona have been improved of late in La Liga
Jamie Kemp takes a look across three weekend fixtures on MD20 in La Liga, leading with an underperforming Sevilla’s trip to face Girona…
Girona’s home strength can see them best Sevilla
Fede Valverde has found his shooting boots
Valencia v Real Sociedad should be tight affair
Listen to this week’s Football…Only Bettor
Girona v Sevilla – Sat, 13:00
After a difficult start to the season, it seems like Girona are starting to find their feet and beginning to look up again. Following up their historically good season in 2023-24 after selling a raft of talent was always going to be a big challenge. But at last they look as if they’re starting to perform within the parameters of what we can reasonably expect.
Girona have won their last two games in La Liga and kept a clean sheet in both, while on home soil, they remain one of the stronger sides in the division. Michel’s side have lost just four of their last 24 league matches at Montilivi, and all of those have been against European-quality opposition: Villarreal, Barcelona, Real Sociedad and Real Madrid.
Going by their underlying data, Girona rank fifth in La Liga for xGD on home soil this season (+7.6), behind only the current top three in the division, and Real Betis. The Catalan side might not be the dominant force of attacking football on every terrain that they were last season, but in front of their own fans, they remain a side who consistently create more chances than they concede.
Meanwhile, Sevilla have won just one of their nine away matches in La Liga this season (D3 L5), while conceding more than two goals per game on average (19 conceded in nine games). Their xGD on the road ranks 13th in the division too. They are, at best, an average away team, both in their actual performance, as well as when we consult the underlying metrics.
The security of the Garcia Pimienta project at Sevilla continues to strain too. Beyond what the actual results say, the current project is short on positive indicators towards the future, which is going to take an increasing toll on confidence if they can’t figure things out in the short term.
A Girona side who perform well at home should fancy themselves against an opponent who constantly feel one or two games away from a crisis. I’ll take them to win and have the most corners, along with Sevilla seeing more cards.
Real Madrid v Las Palmas – Sun, 15:15
Just when we all thought it couldn’t possibly happen again, Real Madrid were well and truly demolished in another Clasico. Their eventual three-goal defeat was bad enough, but were it not for Wojciech Szczęsny’s red card early on in the second-half, Barcelona looked like they were on their way to a victory of epic proportions. Things could have easily been worse.
The good news for Real Madrid is they don’t have to play Barcelona again for a while. Where Hansi Flick’s side clearly have their number in a major way, the capital outfit don’t have too much to worry about in returning to the day job of domestic football. Nobody has gotten close to giving them the nightmares that Flick’s Barcelona have this season, and Sunday’s game at home to Las Palmas should see Madrid revert to normality.
After a humiliating defeat to their rivals, one should always expect Real Madrid to come out with renewed enthusiasm when the league games roll around. Everyone will want to get the Super Cup result out of their system, and back on home soil against a side from the bottom end of La Liga, it’s the chance for them to take their frustration out on an opponent that they have a huge talent disparity on. They’ll know they can perform better than they did in midweek against Celta Vigo in the Copa del Rey too.
Real Madrid have averaged 2.7 goals per game across their last 15 home matches in La Liga (W13 D1 L1), while only conceding an average of 0.7 per game. Consider the fact that four of the 11 goals conceded in this run came in a single game against Barcelona, and it tells you that against anyone but their rivals, things have otherwise gone pretty smoothly.
Against a Las Palmas side who have improved under Diego Martinez, but whose underlying numbers point towards their results being pretty unsustainable (+3 GD, -5.7 xGD), I think we’ll see Ancelotti’s side exert their force here. And in terms of value, I’m intrigued by Fede Valverde to score anytime @ 7/2.
He’s scored in four of his last eight for Real Madrid, including a screamer against Celta Vigo in midweek. Against defences sitting deep, he’s always a threat from range.
Valencia v Real Sociedad – Sun, 20:00
Valencia are right in the midst of a relegation battle – a very serious one. The mere possibility that a club of their stature might have to play second division football in 2025-26 is difficult to even comprehend.
They’ve made a decent start to life under new boss Carlos Corberan, following up an undeserved defeat at home to Real Madrid with a solid display away at Sevilla last weekend. Were it not for an uncharacteristic mistake from goalkeeper Giorgi Mamardashvili – palming in a fairly routine shot from distance late on – they would have had the Corberan era up and running.
Sunday’s game at home to Real Sociedad promises to be a significant challenge. The visitors aren’t exactly blowing people away with their football at the moment, but their defensive performance is pretty scary at the moment. Imanol Alguacil’s side have kept a clean sheet in six of their last eight in La Liga.
Indeed, what you have in this match-up is a home team in a pretty desperate situation, who really need to start picking up victories from somewhere, up against one of the stingiest defensive sides in Europe this season (who don’t score much themselves). Add in a boat load of nerves at Mestalla from an anxious fanbase and I can’t see this one being an end-to-end thriller.
All in all, this looks like a game that’ll be fought on ultra-fine margins. If there is to be a winner, I expect it’ll likely be by just a single goal. But I’ll stick with a scarcity of goals as the main prediction here.
Since the start of the 2021-22 campaign, this fixture has been short on scoring as a pretty firm trend. In their seven meetings in La Liga in this time, we’ve seen only eight goals scored in total, while both sides have scored in just one of those.
La Liga Tips: Back Girona to prolong Sevilla’s struggles in 5/1 treble
Sevilla has been struggling in La Liga recently, and their upcoming match against Girona could prove to be another tough test for them. Girona, on the other hand, has been in decent form and will be looking to take advantage of Sevilla’s poor form.
In a 5/1 treble, backing Girona to come out on top in this match could prove to be a wise choice. Sevilla’s defense has been leaky in recent matches, and Girona has the attacking prowess to exploit their weaknesses.
Additionally, Girona has been solid at home this season, making them a strong contender to secure all three points in this fixture. With odds of 5/1, this treble presents an attractive opportunity to capitalize on Sevilla’s struggles and back Girona to prolong their woes.
So, if you’re looking for a value bet in La Liga, consider backing Girona in this 5/1 treble and potentially reap the rewards of Sevilla’s continued struggles.
Tags:
La Liga tips, Girona vs Sevilla, football betting tips, La Liga predictions, Girona vs Sevilla preview, La Liga match analysis, football betting strategy, La Liga odds, sports betting tips, soccer betting tips, La Liga treble, Girona vs Sevilla betting tips, La Liga match preview.
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Wrexham manager Phil Parkinson will take charge of his 1000th game this Saturday against Peterborough
Alan Dudman landed five out of six winners on Wednesday including a winning treble and he previews this weekend’s action in the EFL…
Alan tipped five out of six winners on New Year’s Day
Leyton Orient and Wrexham look bankers this Saturday
The latest EFL trebles for the weekend pay 4/1 and 7/2
Place £10 bet on any sport on the Betfair Exchange to start your Free Bet Streak
Football… Only Bettor Podcast – Listen here!
Betfair’s Saturday Superboost!
Tottenham v Newcastle should be a lively way to get the first Saturday of 2025 underway in the Premier League and Betfair have come up with an appealing Superboost for the 12:30 kick-off.
Alexander Isak scored 25 Premier League goals for Newcastle in 2024 while Anthony Gordon has been directly involved in a goal in each of his last four Premier League appearances for the Magpies.
The pair will enjoy playing against a Tottenham side that leave plenty of gaps at the back.
League One
We’re like a metronome at the moment backing Leyton Orient and they keep winning – it’s now four on the trot for Richie Wellens’ side and they look the best 1/2 shots of the weekend coming up and are a must for any acca.
A New Year’s Day win at Bristol Rovers was a tougher much than envisaged as Rovers’ new intensity levels were noticed in the 3-2 game at the Mem but Orient are creating a ton of chances and scoring at the moment, and while Rovers scored twice, the first time the Londoners had conceded a goal since early November, it was more down to mistakes at the back.
Sonny Perkins earned the plaudits too with a hand in all three Orient goals although at the back, I expect Orient to tighten up for Saturday as they gave up an xG of 2.41.
Back at home again, Orient have won six of their last seven league games against Shrewsbury Town (L1), though did lose the reverse fixture in August 3-0.
KEY OPTA STAT: After failing to win any of their seven home league games between April and October (D3 L4), Leyton Orient have since won five of their last seven at Brisbane Road (D1 L1), keeping six clean sheets during that time.
Leg 2: Wrexham v Peterborough United, Saturday 15:00: Back Wrexham @ 8/13
It’s hard to back Peterborough with any confidence at the moment and they are big outsiders at 15/4 for Saturday’s trip to Wales. This is not a game Posh fans will be looking forward to.
The Posh are down in 18th and their young side is showing its frailties with inexperience as they’ve lost three of their last four but at least earned a point at bottom placed Burton on New Year’s Day.
The goals against column for Darren Ferguson is one of the worst in the division as they’ve conceded 20 on the road, taking that to Wrexham presents all manner of problems, as Wrexham’s home record is still one of the best in the division with 11 wins and just eight conceded.
Wrexham are unbeaten across their last 17 home Football League games (W15 D2), scoring 2.4 goals on average per match in that time. The Welsh side last enjoyed a longer such stint between April 1986 and March 1987 (19 games – W9 D10), and while short again in price, it’s hard to see beyond them at 8/13.
KEY OPTA STAT: Peterborough have lost their last three away league games played on a Saturday and will be looking to avoid losing four such matches in succession for the first time since September 2022.
Leg 3: Huddersfield v Rotherham, Saturday 15:00: Back Under 2.5 Goals @ 3/4
Rotherham are not known as heavy scorers on the road with just seven scored away all season and only Stevenage have scored less with (three).
That’s the basis of the bet for Saturday – either Huddersfield with a low-scoring win, BTTS ‘No’ or the Unders, and the 3/4 is a cromulent figure to include in our treble to make a 7/2 acca.
All four of Rotherham’s recent matches have hit the Under 2.5 Goals target with three of the matches 1-0 scorelines. One of those was on New Year’s Day with a 0-1 win at Lincoln, a game they gave up just 0.21xG and kept Lincoln to hardly any chances.
However, Rotherham have failed to win any of their last 33 away league games played on a Saturday (D12 L21) since a 2-0 victory over Gillingham in April 2022 which is quite some stat and Yorkshire derby honours can go to the hosts.
KEY OPTA STAT: Huddersfield are unbeaten across their last eight home league games (W6 D2), conceding more than one goal in just one of those matches.
League Two
Leg 1: Doncaster Rovers v Port Vale, Saturday 15:00: Back Under 2.5 Goals @ 4/5
Port Vale are in danger of complete capitulation at the moment and are down to 6th in the table and have scored just one goal in their last six games.
A few months ago they would have been expected to batter Cheltenham, but they were held by the Robins on New Year’s Day to a 0-0 – and in 90 minutes earned just 0.96 xG with just one big chance created. However, it was an improved display, much better than in recent weeks and the return of captain Ben Garrity certainly helped.
The problem appears to be that Darren Moore doesn’t know his best eleven and is making too many changes. Vale have also lost three of their last four away league games against sides from Yorkshire (W1), conceding 11 goals in total across that time.
I’ve struggled personally with Doncaster this season so won’t stoop to the stratagem of trying to back them for a win, instead with Vale’s lack of goal output, the Under 2.5 Goals looks the best option at a shade of odds-on.
KEY OPTA STAT: Doncaster have lost just one of their last 15 home league games played on a Saturday (W10 D4), failing to score in just one of those matches during that time.
Leg 2: MK Dons v Salford City, Saturday 15:00: Back BTTS ‘Yes’ @ 8/11
Salford broke a club record on New Year’s Day, not for a manager staying in the job for at least five months, but a fifth straight victory. Karl Robinson’s side are flying at the moment and absolutely cruised to a 2-0 win against Harrogate recently.
There’s a case to be made for an outright Salford win here considering the form and the Karl Robinson derby is a reminder to just how good the Dons were many years ago under him and were terrific at this level.
“There have been moments in games [recently], but today I thought that we looked a very strong team – and hopefully we are only going to keep getting better,” said Robinson after Wednesday’s win.
“If anything, we wish that we got more goals. I think that our play certainly deserved that, especially in the first half and towards the latter part of the second half. We missed multiple chances.”
Goals could be on the cards at MK as the Dons have had a mixed period over Christmas with three losses and they conceded six at Newport County. Historically with the Opta Stats, MK Dons have fallen behind in all three of their league games against Salford City, but have come back to win two of those including a 3-1 victory in this exact fixture last season.
KEY OPTA STAT: Salford have lost just one of their last eight away league games played on a Saturday (W3 D4), with the Ammies not conceding more than one goal in a match during that time.
Leg 3: Notts County v Swindon Town, Saturday 15:00: Back Notts County @ 4/6
Perhaps Swindon are turning a corner under Ian Holloway? Unbeaten in their last four and a surprising 3-2 last-minute win on Wednesday has pulled them out of the relegation zone, but goodness me they are open.
They’ve conceded in every game since the 5th October and if County have the ‘A’ game for the weekend, their price of 4/6 looks a bit too generous considering Swindon have won just two of their last 25 away league games (D9 L14), scoring just two goals across their last four such matches in total.
Add to that, the Magpies have one of the best defensive home records in the league with just seven conceded and while they lost their most recent game (1-2 to Walsall), they had won three on the spin over Christmas and found their scoring boots again with three against Bradford and five against Cheltenham.
Saturday League 1 & 2 Tips: Parky to celebrate milestone in style in 7/2 treble
This Saturday, all eyes will be on League 1 and League 2 as some exciting matches take place. One manager who will be looking to celebrate a milestone in style is Parky, who is set to reach his 100th game in charge of his team. To mark the occasion, we have put together a 7/2 treble that includes three teams we believe will come out on top this weekend.
1. Team A vs Team B – Team A to win
Team A has been in fine form recently and will be looking to continue their winning streak against Team B, who have struggled to find consistency. With home advantage and a strong record against their opponents, we believe Team A will secure the three points.
2. Team C vs Team D – Over 2.5 goals
Both Team C and Team D have been involved in high-scoring matches recently and we expect this trend to continue when they face off this weekend. With attacking firepower on both sides, we predict over 2.5 goals in this match.
3. Team E vs Team F – Team E to win
Team E has been on a roll in recent weeks and will be confident of maintaining their winning run against Team F, who have been struggling for form. With home advantage and a strong defensive record, we fancy Team E to come out on top in this encounter.
By backing this 7/2 treble, you could be celebrating alongside Parky as he reaches his milestone in style. Good luck!
Tags:
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Price: $16.96 (as of Jan 02,2025 05:34:21 UTC – Details)
Traductores En Tiempo Real: The ai headphones language translation earbuds features advanced AI technology, providing online real-time translation with an impressive 98% accuracy, making it an essential tool for seamless communication across borders Hy-T26 Pro Language Translator: Our ai headphones translator provide clear sound, delivering clear vocals enhanced by noise reduction technology, wireless bluetooth translation earbuds perfect for workouts, outdoor activities, or everyday use Multi-Functional AI App: wireless translation earbuds unlock a suite of powerful features, including recording, AI chat, picture generation, and simple music creation, all integrated into the AI translation earbuds, boosting your work efficiency and making everyday tasks easier Fast Pairing: Ai translation earbuds equipped with the Latest Bluetooth 5.4 Technology, These Earbuds Offer Seamless Connectivity with Your Phone, Laptop, Or Any Other Bluetooth-Enabled Device. Enjoy Stable Connections and Enhanced Range for Uninterrupted Audio Enjoyment Ergonomic and Comfortable Design: These ai headphones are crafted with built-in 16mm dynamic speakers that deliver 360° Hi-Fi stereo sound, providing exceptional audio quality for a comfortable listening experience on the go
Introducing the Hy-Undai Hy-T26 Pro Language Translator!
Say goodbye to language barriers with these innovative translation headphones. With support for 75 languages, you can easily communicate with people from all around the world. Whether you’re traveling, working, or simply want to learn a new language, these wireless headphones have got you covered.
Not only do these headphones excel in translation capabilities, but they also deliver high-quality sound for music lovers. The over-ear design provides a comfortable fit, while the treble ensures crisp and clear audio.
Available in Black and Purple, these translation headphones are not only functional but also stylish. Stand out from the crowd and make a statement with your tech accessories.
Don’t let language barriers hold you back – get your hands on the Hy-Undai Hy-T26 Pro Language Translator today and experience seamless communication like never before!
Price: $29.99 (as of Jan 01,2025 22:48:09 UTC – Details)
Quick Connection: Use advanced Bluetooth technology to quickly and easily pair with your device. These earphones promote wireless communication, allowing you to receive instant while staying connected to your smartphone or tablet for a smooth conversation experience Ideal for travelers and professionals, these earbuds eliminate language barriers, ensuring every conversation flows smoothly and effectively Utilizing cutting-edge AI technology, you can communicate efficiently anytime and anywhere, enhancing your interactions. Experience the full capabilities of the product, helping to improve your work efficiency and streamline tasks 【Excellent Sound Experience】Enjoy exceptional audio quality with built-in 16mm dynamic speakers that deliver 360° Hi-Fi stereo sound. The earbuds provide clear vocals and rich bass, enhanced by noise reduction technology for an immersive listening experience at any volume 【Comfortable and Secure Fit】Designed for comfort and stability, Hy-T26 Headphones feature an ergonomic ear-mount design that fits snugly in your ears. Say goodbye to discomfort and enjoy hours of listening pleasure with these premium earbuds
Introducing the latest in wireless headphone technology – the New High Precision Wireless Headphones! These over-ear earbuds are designed to deliver crystal clear treble and rich, immersive sound quality for your music listening pleasure.
With Bluetooth support, you can easily connect these headphones to your device and enjoy your favorite tunes with ease. The ergonomic design ensures a comfortable fit for extended listening sessions, while the high precision drivers deliver a truly exceptional audio experience.
Say goodbye to tangled cords and hello to wireless freedom with these sleek and stylish headphones. Whether you’re at home, on the go, or hitting the gym, these headphones are the perfect companion for all your music needs.
Upgrade your listening experience with the New High Precision Wireless Headphones today!
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