Warriors vs. Jazz odds, line, prediction, start time: 2025 NBA picks, Jan. 28 best bets from proven model

The Golden State Warriors (22-23) have lost 20 of their last 30 games and have slipped to 11th in the West, but they’ll have a golden opportunity to pull back to .500 on Tuesday when they host the Utah Jazz (10-34). The Jazz have the worst record in the West and enter tonight on a six-game losing streak. Golden State has won six in a row over Utah, including a 41-point road victory in October, but the Jazz have covered the spread in two of their last three matchups with the Warriors. Steph Curry (knee) is questionable, while Utah will be without Lauri Markkanen (back), John Collins (illness), Jordan Clarkson (foot) and Walker Kessler (shoulder).

Tip-off is at 10 p.m. ET from the Chase Center in San Francisco. Golden State is an 11.5-point favorite in the latest Warriors vs. Jazz odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points is 227.5. The Warriors are at -645 on the money line (risk $645 to win $100), while the Jazz are at +472 (risk $100 to win $472). Before you make any Jazz vs. Warriors picks, make sure to check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters Week 15 of the 2024-25 NBA season on a sizzling 140-100 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning well over $3,000. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.

Now, the model has simulated Golden State vs. Utah 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NBA picks and betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and NBA betting lines for Jazz vs. Warriors:

• Warriors vs. Jazz spread: Golden State -11.5
• Warriors vs. Jazz over/under: 227.5 points
• Warriors vs. Jazz money line: Golden State -645, Utah +472
• Warriors vs. Jazz picks: See picks at SportsLine
• Warriors vs. Jazz streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)

Why the Warriors can cover

Golden State is coming off a 118-108 loss to the Lakers on Saturday despite having seven players reach double-figures in scoring. Andrew Wiggins led the Warriors with 20 points, but Curry had an off night, finishing with 13 points on 4-for-17 shooting. However, he did manage nine assists and two steals.

The 10-time NBA All-Star and two-time league MVP is averaging 22.3 points and 6.4 assists per game, but he’s been in a bit of a shooting rut, going 16-for-51 from the 3-point line in his last five games. However, the Warriors have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games against Northwest Division opponents. See which team to back at SportsLine.

Why the Jazz can cover

Meanwhile, the Jazz are coming off a 125-110 loss to the Bucks on Monday night. Collin Sexton had 19 points, with rookie Isaiah Collier contributing 12 points, eight assists and three steals. Additionally, the Jazz did get positive contributions from their reserves, with 53 bench points while playing a 10-man rotation.

However, Utah shot just 41.0% from the floor as a team while Milwaukee shot 60.5% from the field. Despite having the front office seemingly focused on next year’s draft class and the franchise’s future, the Jazz have managed to cover the spread in 13 of their last 19 games. They also get to face a shorthanded Warriors squad missing Draymond Green (calf) and Jonathan Kuminga (ankle). See which team to back at SportsLine.

How to make Warriors vs. Jazz picks

SportsLine’s model has simulated Utah vs. Golden State and is leaning Under the total, projecting 220 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 70% of simulations. You can head to SportsLine to see the model’s NBA picks. 

So who wins Warriors vs. Jazz on Tuesday, and which side of the spread hits in almost 70% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Jazz vs. Warriors spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $10,000 on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.